The Packers stumbled against the Lions back in November, dropping a 24-14 game after a costly pick-six swung momentum before halftime. That loss knocked them to 6-3 and left them trailing in the NFC North. Since then, though, they’ve turned things around, winning three straight, including a recent 30-17 victory over the Miami Dolphins last week. Sitting at 9-3, they’re not out of the race just yet.
Detroit, meanwhile, has been a powerhouse. They’ve won 10 in a row and lead the division at 11-1 after narrowly escaping with a 23-20 Thanksgiving win over the Chicago Bears. Thursday’s rematch at Ford Field is make-or-break for Green Bay—a chance to stay in the hunt and show they’re a serious contender.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: Preview
Date: Thursday, December 5, 2024
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
TV Broadcast: WGBA-TV and WITI-TV
Live Streaming: Prime Video
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: Odds And Best Bets
| Betting Category | Details |
| Point Spread | Detroit Lions -3.5 |
| Moneyline | Lions: -180, Packers: +150 |
| Over/Under Total | 51.5 points |
The Lions have been pretty hot this season, with a solid 9-3 ATS record. They’ve been especially good when they’re favorites, going 7-2 in their last nine games. The Packers, on the other hand, are 6-6 ATS, but they’ve shown some grit lately.
The Packers are putting up an average of 26 points per game, while the Lions are leading the pack with 31. Despite their high-scoring offense, Detroit’s defense is a big factor, sitting at number one for EPA allowed per play, which could play a huge role here. When it comes to third downs, both teams have had some trouble—Green Bay converting 34.97% and Detroit at 31.7%. The Packers do have a slight edge in offensive EPA per play at 0.084, but with Detroit’s formidable defense, they’ve got the upper hand heading into this game.
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In terms of betting, many are leaning towards the Lions covering the -3.5 spread because they’re at home and they’ve been playing strong. For the total points, a lot of folks are thinking the under (51.5) is a good call since both teams like to run, which eats up the clock and slows down scoring. If you’re into prop bets, you might want to look at Josh Jacobs (Packers RB) going under 16.5 rushing attempts and Sam LaPorta (Lions TE) staying under 3.5 receptions.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: Expert Predictions
Most experts predict the Lions will win, given their strong home record and solid play this season. That said, a few analysts think the Packers might manage to cover the spread, thanks to their recent improvements. Overall, though, the general consensus seems to be that the Lions will come out on top, with score predictions like 28-19 floating around.
Both teams are coming off victories. Packers quarterback Jordan Love had a standout performance in their latest game against the Dolphins, completing 21 of 28 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns. Green Bay’s offense is ranked 8th in the league, averaging 26.5 points per game, while their defense is also holding up well at 9th, giving up just 20 points per game.
Meanwhile, Lions quarterback Jared Goff threw for 221 yards and two touchdowns in their win over the Bears. Detroit has the league’s top offense, averaging 31.9 points per game, and their defense is just as impressive, ranked 3rd and allowing only 16.9 points per game.
