It’s go-time, baby!!! The preseason is finally over. All 53-man rosters have been finalized. All clear for takeoff on the 2024 NFL season. With the long and painful wait finally over, let’s dive into our final win-loss predictions for all 32 NFL teams in 2024.
Which teams are bound to win many games in the upcoming NFL season?
Arizona Cardinals: 6-11
The Cardinals won four games last year without Kyler Murray for nine games. They play in an unforgiving NFC West, but improvement is inevitable with a healthy Murray — and with can’t-miss rookie wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. joining the offense.
Arizona isn’t ready to compete for a playoff berth, but progress will be made again under second-year head coach Jonathan Gannon.
Atlanta Falcons: 11-6
The Falcons won seven games last year with Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke as their quarterbacks. They have nowhere to go but up with four-time Pro Bowler Kirk Cousins taking over the offense.
With football’s easiest schedule at their advantage, Captain Kirk should lead Atlanta to their first NFC South division crown since 2016. Their final seven games are against NFL teams who finished below .500 in 2023, so anything less than double-digit wins should be deemed a disappointment in Atlanta.
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Baltimore Ravens: 12-5
Inevitable improvement inside the AFC North means the Ravens will struggle to finish with football’s top regular season record again. But Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and a lights-out defense are too much to prevent Baltimore from snagging another division crown.
Buffalo Bills: 10-7
A tough cap situation forced the Bills to bid farewell to many key veterans, namely Stefon Diggs, Micah Hyde, and Jordan Poyer. It’s hard to see Buffalo winning a fifth straight AFC East division crown, but Josh Allen alone is enough to lead them to double-digit wins.
Carolina Panthers: 4-13
Hard to imagine Carolina being any worse than the 2-win squad from last year, especially given the offensive reinforcements around Bryce Young.
But when you look at Carolina’s schedule, it’s hard to circle many games they can realistically win. Bryce Young will improve, but Panthers fans ought to remember that it’s a marathon and not a sprint here.
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Chicago Bears: 9-8
We wanted to give the Bears double-digit wins here because we’re already buying the hype on Caleb Williams and this star-studded Chicago offense.
But…gah…playing in the NFC North with two Super Bowl contenders and facing the entire NFC West makes 10-plus wins easier said than done. Still, there’s enough young talent in place here for Chicago to finish above .500 for the first time since 2018.
Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6
Joe Burrow missed seven games last year, and yet the Bengals still finished 9-and-8 despite playing in a division with three other playoff teams. Surely, a healthy “Joe Cool” is worth two additional wins — even with one of football’s toughest schedules.
The nice part about the Bengals’ schedule is that there are only two stretches during which they have back-to-back games against NFL teams that finished above .500 last year. See you guys back in the playoffs in January!
Cleveland Browns: 10-7
The Browns have the toughest strength of schedule for 2024, as their opponents combined for a ridiculous .547 winning percentage last season.
But with a lights-out defense, a healthy Deshaun Watson, and Jerry Jeudy giving Cleveland a dangerous No. 2 receiver opposite Amari Cooper, it’s hard to bet against a second straight winning season for the Browns. BIG IF, but if Watson regains his Houston Texans-like form in 2024, the Browns could emerge as Kansas City’s biggest challenger in the AFC.
Dallas Cowboys: 11-6
A tricky schedule and inevitable improvement in the NFC East means Dallas is short of a fourth straight 12-plus-win season.
Doesn’t mean Jerry Jones’ group will unravel entirely, though. As we all know, Dak Prescott and company will look like Super Bowl contenders in the regular season before imploding in the postseason. And then Mike McCarthy will get a five-year extension.
More of the same in Big D!
Denver Broncos: 5-12
2024 is a year of transition for a Broncos team that bid farewell to Russell Wilson, Jerry Jeudy, and Justin Simmons. This year is about developing rookie QB Bo Nix and seeing if the young defense can take a step forward.
Sean Payton’s brilliant coaching will keep the Broncos tough and competitive, but anything more than five wins would be miraculous for this team that’s lacking in proven game-changers on offense.
Detroit Lions: 12-5
No reason to think the Lions won’t be just as good — if not better — than last year’s group. They’re locked and loaded on both sides of the ball and enter an NFL season with legitimate Super Bowl aspirations for the first time since…ever, maybe?
The NFC North figures to be trickier this year, but the Lions have one of the most loaded rosters in football. Twelve or more wins shouldn’t be an issue for Dan Campbell’s group.
Green Bay Packers: 11-6
Jordan Love played like an MVP in the second half of 2023 and led the Packers to a wild card berth and Divisional Round appearance. Love, his young set of receivers, and newcomer Josh Jacobs will elevate the Packers to their best record since 2021 and a second straight playoff appearance.
Houston Texans: 11-6
What for an encore? The Texans were the big surprise of 2023 by winning the AFC South and a playoff game before bowing out to the Ravens in the Divisional Round.
CJ Stroud has two new big-time weapons in Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon. With ex-Minnesota Vikings star Danielle Hunter joining the Will Anderson Jr.-led defense, the Texans should make the jump to Super Bowl contender this year.
We fully expect a second straight crown for DeMeco Ryans’ group.
Indianapolis Colts: 7-10
The Colts went 9-and-8 last season even though starting QB Anthony Richardson and star running back Jonathan Taylor combined to play just 14 games. So improvement is inevitable, right?
Well, not quite. The Colts were big-time overachievers last year and benefited from a soft schedule. Seven of their first ten games are against NFL teams who finished with winning records in 2023, so finishing above .500 again feels like a pipe dream.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-7
The Jags looked like legitimate contenders in the first half of 2023, standing pretty at 8-and-3 with six games to go. But they inexplicably unraveled with losses in five of their final six games to finish 9-and-8 and miss out on the postseason.
But this team is too talented not to at least finish with ten wins in 2024. Trevor Lawrence is loaded with playmakers across the board, and the rebuilt front seven will help this defense bounce back from a rough year.
The opening schedule slate is tough with four straight games against NFL teams who finished above .500 last year, but it eases down from there — with their final five games taking place against teams who missed the playoffs in 2023.
Kansas City Chiefs: 13-4
The Chiefs won Super Bowl 58 last year as a No. 3 seed and are somehow a lot more dangerous on paper. We know that life isn’t fair for opposing NFL teams.
Patrick Mahomes remains the best player in the game. An offense of Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, Marquise Brown, Xavier Worthy, and Isiah Pacheco is borderline unstoppable — and Steve Spagnuolo’s defense isn’t about to lose its swagger.
It’d be a surprise if the road to Super Bowl 59 did not run through Arrowhead Stadium in 2024.
Las Vegas Raiders: 5-12
The Raiders finished strong under Antonio Pierce last season, and he’s certainly more qualified to be a head coach than the disaster that was Josh McDaniels.
But it’s hard to see Vegas competing in a loaded AFC with a QB room of Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell. Losing former rushing champion Josh Jacobs in free agency stings big-time, too.
With uncertainty at QB, it’s hard to see Vegas matching or topping last year’s 8-and-9 record.
Los Angeles Chargers: 7-10
Only four NFL teams have an easier strength of schedule than Jim Harbaugh’s Chargers…but we’re pumping the brakes on a return to the postseason in 2024.
The secondary has its flaws, and Justin Herbert lost his two best receivers in Mike Williams and Keenan Allen. Harbaugh and GM Hortiz avoided aggressive offseason moves and stuck to their goal of rebuilding the roster patiently.
It’s the right approach, and it means keeping expectations realistic for 2024.
Los Angeles Rams: 10-7
The Rams lost Aaron Donald to retirement but brought in several new faces to keep the defense intact — including standout defensive backs Tre’Davious White, Darious Williams, Kamren Curl, and prized rookie Jared Verse.
Throw in an offensive machine led by Matt Stafford, Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua, and Kyren Williams, and the Rams should be right back in the postseason and win enough against NFL teams.
Miami Dolphins: 10-7
The Dolphins finished 11-6 last year for their best finish since 2008…but they only beat one team with a winning record during the regular season. Then they went out punchless against Kansas City in the Wild Card Round.
A healthy Aaron Rodgers makes the New York Jets a more formidable opponent, so you can knock “gimme” wins off Miami’s schedule.
We still have questions about the o-line and defense, but the high-flying Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill-led offense are enough to keep them in playoff contention.
Minnesota Vikings: 5-12
If JJ McCarthy didn’t have a season-ending knee injury, we’d deem the Vikings a sleeper team for 2024. But we have no faith in Sam Darnold as a quarterback, and losing superstar tight end TJ Hockenson for at least four games is another big-time blow for the offense.
Minnesota is merely the fourth-best team in their division, so expect another rough year in the Gopher State.
New England Patriots: 3-14
Year one of the post-Bill Belichick era and a painful long-term rebuild is ahead in New England.
They have the league’s worst set of weapons, a suspect offensive line, and a leaky defense that traded its best player, Matt Judon, to the Atlanta Falcons. Playing in an AFC East with three Super Bowl contenders is just extra cruelty for Jerod Mayo’s team.
Sorry, Pats fans. The dynastic run wasn’t gonna last forever…
New Orleans Saints: 9-8
The Saints have one of the softest schedules for 2024. But guess what? They also did last season and yet only finished 9-and-8.
We don’t see Derek Carr elevating his game much after an up-and-down first year in New Orleans. Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara, and the Cam Jordan-led defense are enough to keep the Saints in wild-card contention, but Carr’s limitations mean the Saints will fall short of double-digit victories for a fourth straight season.
New York Giants: 4-13
Hard to see the Giants rebounding from last year with Daniel Jones returning as the starting quarterback again. Did we mention they also lost superstar running back Saquon Barkley AND their best defensive back in Xavier McKinney to the Packers in free agency?
You can mark down four losses against the Giants’ AFC North opponents and four more against the Cowboys and Eagles. Soft opponents like Washington, Carolina, and Minnesota will help the Giants record multiple wins — but they’ll still be in contention to draft a top QB prospect next year. Win-win!
New York Jets: 11-6
If Aaron Rodgers is healthy, the Jets will be a bonafide Super Bowl contender in 2024.
They have a top-10 defense, a four-time MVP at quarterback, a rebuilt o-line, and a nice set of weapons led by Garrett Wilson, Mike Williams, and Breece Hall. If Rodgers plays all 17 games, the Jets should win their first division crown since 2002.
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6
It will be neck-and-neck between the Eagles and Cowboys for the NFC East. Philly did lose franchise star Jason Kelce to retirement, but newcomers like Saquon Barkley, CJ Gardner-Johnson, Bryce Huff, Cooper DeJean and Quinyon Mitchell will more than make up for his loss.
The Eagles have one of the most difficult schedules among NFC teams, but most of those challenging games are at home. We’ll take them to win the NFC East via tiebreaker as Jalen Hurts rebounds from a miserable late-season collapse in 2023.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7
Four NFL teams with double-digit wins in the AFC North? You betcha.
Hear us out. The Steelers won 10 games last year with Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubisky, and Mason Rudolph as quarterbacks. Russell Wilson and Justin Fields are both significant upgrades over those three, so yeah.
Throw in their stingy defense and dynamic rushing game, and you have a 10-win team and dark horse Super Bowl contender.
San Francisco 49ers: 12-5
The reigning NFC Champions will vie for the best regular season record in football once again.
Nothing new to see here. The 49ers have the most stacked roster in the NFC and are still the team to beat in the conference despite another heartbreaking Super Bowl defeat. No reason to think they won’t win a third straight division crown.
Seattle Seahawks: 7-10
The Seahawks swapped out Pete Carroll for Mike Macdonald as head coach but lost far more talent than they gained. As such, we’re not buying a third straight winning season.
Seattle will be competitive with the DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Kenneth Walker-led offense. They’ll pull off a couple of upsets and beat down the weaker opponents, but playing in the NFC West with the Rams and 49ers means life isn’t always fair. Seven wins is far more realistic than the nine they’ve recorded in each of the last two years.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-10
Baker Mayfield was a fun story last year, but we’re on the side of “it was a flash in the pan.”
The Bucs had a laughable schedule and still only finished 9-and-8 last year. The Falcons are better, the Panthers will improve, and Mayfield is unlikely to repeat a career year with Dave Canales leaving for Carolina.
Tampa falls back to earth here and missed the postseason for the first time since 2019.
Tennessee Titans: 5-12
Take a look at the Titans’ first six games, and 1-and-5 or 0-and-6 aren’t out of the question.
It’s a rebuilding year with new offensive coordinator Brian Callahan, who’s tasked with unlocking Will Levis’ potential. Keep expectations reasonable for a team residing in a division that produced three clubs with winning records.
Washington Commanders: 4-13
Washington won’t be BORING under rookie QB Jayden Daniels and the new coach-GM regime of Dan Quinn and Adam Peters. But again, let’s keep expectations fair for a young team that’s far from ready for prime time.
2024 is about developing Daniels and building his confidence as a pro. The Commanders won’t get many wins with the Eagles and Cowboys in their division nor with the entire AFC Noth on their schedule.
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